Returns On Capital Signal Difficult Times Ahead For UNITEDLABELS (ETR:ULC)
When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics that can help spot trouble early. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. In light of that, from a first glance at UNITEDLABELS (ETR:ULC), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for UNITEDLABELS, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0026 = €28k ÷ (€22m - €11m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
So, UNITEDLABELS has an ROCE of 0.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Leisure industry average of 18%.
Check out our latest analysis for UNITEDLABELS
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for UNITEDLABELS' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of UNITEDLABELS, check out these free graphs here.
How Are Returns Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about UNITEDLABELS, given the returns are trending downwards. About five years ago, returns on capital were 7.3%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on UNITEDLABELS becoming one if things continue as they have.
On a side note, UNITEDLABELS has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 49% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 49% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that UNITEDLABELS is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 45% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for UNITEDLABELS that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:ULC
UNITEDLABELS
Provides branded products for media and entertainment industry in Germany and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.