Moncler S.p.A.

XTRA:MOV Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.1b

Moncler Valuation

Is MOV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

€27.85
Fair Value
86.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MOV (€51.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€27.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOV is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOV?

Key metric: As MOV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MOV. This is calculated by dividing MOV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MOV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.1x
Earnings€612.32m
Market Cap€14.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
ADS adidas
23.3x21.92%€28.2b
BOSS Hugo Boss
11.6x8.64%€2.6b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
13.1xn/a€308.7m
1913 Prada
16x7.94%HK$120.0b
MOV Moncler
23.1x7.14%€14.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MOV 23.1xIndustry Avg. 20.8xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MOV's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€51.82
€56.80
+9.60%
9.48%€70.00€47.50n/a22
Oct ’26€49.48
€56.35
+13.89%
9.03%€70.00€47.50n/a23
Sep ’26n/a
€57.17
0%
9.54%€70.00€47.50n/a23
Aug ’26n/a
€57.17
0%
9.54%€70.00€47.50n/a23
Jul ’26n/a
€59.45
0%
9.71%€70.00€47.50n/a23
Jun ’26n/a
€62.74
0%
8.48%€73.00€49.00n/a24
May ’26n/a
€62.59
0%
8.65%€73.00€49.00n/a25
Apr ’26n/a
€65.38
0%
9.30%€75.00€47.50n/a25
Mar ’26n/a
€65.08
0%
8.98%€73.00€47.50n/a25
Feb ’26n/a
€57.87
0%
11.80%€73.00€46.00n/a25
Jan ’26n/a
€57.83
0%
10.80%€70.00€46.00n/a24
Dec ’25n/a
€58.32
0%
10.49%€70.00€46.00n/a24
Nov ’25n/a
€59.07
0%
11.78%€75.00€46.00€51.7024
Oct ’25n/a
€61.48
0%
12.33%€75.00€47.50€49.4823
Sep ’25n/a
€66.00
0%
10.10%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Aug ’25n/a
€66.04
0%
10.03%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Jul ’25n/a
€67.82
0%
10.38%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Jun ’25n/a
€69.86
0%
9.63%€81.00€47.50n/a23
May ’25n/a
€69.86
0%
9.63%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Apr ’25n/a
€67.36
0%
10.32%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
€65.74
0%
10.13%€76.00€47.50n/a24
Feb ’25n/a
€61.81
0%
9.40%€70.00€47.50n/a25
Jan ’25n/a
€63.21
0%
11.22%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Dec ’24n/a
€63.73
0%
10.77%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
€64.41
0%
11.03%€78.00€47.50n/a25
€56.6
Fair Value
8.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/04 06:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/04 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Moncler S.p.A. is covered by 40 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Carmen NovelBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Mariano SzachtmanBanco Santander
Carole MadjoBarclays