LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

XTRA:MOH Stock Report

Market Cap: €291.2b

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne Valuation

Is MOH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MOH (€583.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€607.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOH?

Key metric: As MOH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MOH. This is calculated by dividing MOH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MOH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
Earnings€13.96b
Market Cap€291.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.9x
ADS adidas
100.5x38.1%€38.3b
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.6x13.1%€2.7b
RMS Hermès International Société en commandite par actions
47.5x8.9%€211.6b
BIJ Bijou Brigitte modische Accessoires
11.2xn/a€269.5m
MOH LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton Société Européenne
20.9x6.7%€291.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (42.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MOH 20.9xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio27.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MOH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€583.40
€695.91
+19.3%
8.6%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Nov ’25€610.60
€705.36
+15.5%
8.4%€800.00€560.00n/a28
Oct ’25€663.60
€767.77
+15.7%
9.5%€900.00€600.00n/a26
Sep ’25€674.80
€812.92
+20.5%
9.2%€950.00€650.00n/a26
Aug ’25€642.90
€822.88
+28.0%
9.7%€950.00€643.00n/a26
Jul ’25€711.30
€866.15
+21.8%
8.9%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Jun ’25€735.20
€879.50
+19.6%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
May ’25€777.20
€879.23
+13.1%
8.2%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Apr ’25€834.40
€874.15
+4.8%
8.8%€1,000.00€670.00n/a26
Mar ’25€845.90
€855.63
+1.2%
9.0%€1,000.00€670.00n/a27
Feb ’25€770.50
€839.50
+9.0%
8.1%€1,000.00€670.00n/a28
Jan ’25€736.60
€840.79
+14.1%
9.1%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Dec ’24€699.00
€843.93
+20.7%
9.0%€1,000.00€640.00n/a28
Nov ’24€675.60
€857.79
+27.0%
8.9%€1,000.00€640.00€610.6027
Oct ’24€716.90
€902.38
+25.9%
8.7%€1,020.00€640.00€663.6026
Sep ’24€779.00
€943.23
+21.1%
7.9%€1,025.00€640.00€674.8026
Aug ’24€829.40
€948.65
+14.4%
8.2%€1,060.00€640.00€642.9026
Jul ’24€862.10
€944.38
+9.5%
8.6%€1,060.00€640.00€711.3026
Jun ’24€804.90
€943.62
+17.2%
8.4%€1,060.00€640.00€735.2026
May ’24€869.80
€930.23
+6.9%
9.0%€1,030.00€640.00€777.2027
Apr ’24€845.20
€873.15
+3.3%
10.6%€1,000.00€590.00€834.4027
Mar ’24€792.50
€849.34
+7.2%
9.9%€1,000.00€590.00€845.9030
Feb ’24€794.60
€842.07
+6.0%
9.7%€1,000.00€590.00€770.5030
Jan ’24€690.40
€781.16
+13.1%
8.9%€910.00€590.00€736.6031
Dec ’23€720.60
€778.97
+8.1%
8.4%€910.00€590.00€699.0031
Nov ’23€648.80
€775.72
+19.6%
8.6%€910.00€590.00€675.6032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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