Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Hugo Boss AG (ETR:BOSS) After Its Third-Quarter Results

Hugo Boss AG (ETR:BOSS) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.9% to €36.71 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Hugo Boss reported €989m in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €0.85 beat expectations, being 4.9% higher than what the analysts expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, Hugo Boss' 13 analysts currently expect revenues in 2026 to be €4.32b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 12% to €3.63. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €4.32b and earnings per share (EPS) of €3.66 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Hugo Boss

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €43.75. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Hugo Boss analyst has a price target of €67.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €34.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Hugo Boss' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 15% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Hugo Boss is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Hugo Boss' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Hugo Boss. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Hugo Boss going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Hugo Boss that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.