Stock Analysis

Newlox Gold Ventures (FRA:NGO) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Newlox Gold Ventures Corp. (FRA:NGO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Newlox Gold Ventures

How Much Debt Does Newlox Gold Ventures Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Newlox Gold Ventures had CA$3.38m of debt, up from CA$2.18m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CA$810.4k in cash, and so its net debt is CA$2.57m.

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DB:NGO Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2024

How Strong Is Newlox Gold Ventures' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Newlox Gold Ventures had liabilities of CA$2.78m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$1.84m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$810.4k in cash and CA$181.8k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$3.63m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Newlox Gold Ventures has a market capitalization of CA$16.2m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Newlox Gold Ventures will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Newlox Gold Ventures wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 12%, to CA$3.5m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Newlox Gold Ventures produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$2.1m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$1.6m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for Newlox Gold Ventures (of which 3 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Newlox Gold Ventures might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.