The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Newlox Gold Ventures Corp. (FRA:NGO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Newlox Gold Ventures
What Is Newlox Gold Ventures's Debt?
As you can see below, Newlox Gold Ventures had CA$2.18m of debt, at December 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CA$1.48m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$705.5k.
How Strong Is Newlox Gold Ventures' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Newlox Gold Ventures had liabilities of CA$420.8k due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$2.28m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.48m as well as receivables valued at CA$220.0k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$1.01m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Newlox Gold Ventures has a market capitalization of CA$24.7m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Newlox Gold Ventures's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Newlox Gold Ventures reported revenue of CA$3.1m, which is a gain of 110%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth
Caveat Emptor
Even though Newlox Gold Ventures managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost CA$1.4m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$3.5m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Newlox Gold Ventures is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those are a bit unpleasant...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About DB:NGO
Newlox Gold Ventures
Operates as an environmental remediation and mineral recovery company.
Medium-low with worrying balance sheet.