Viad Valuation

Is DIL1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DIL1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DIL1 (€41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€59.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DIL1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DIL1?

Key metric: As DIL1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DIL1. This is calculated by dividing DIL1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DIL1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.1x
EarningsUS$21.81m
Market CapUS$917.41m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DIL1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DIL1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.8x
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
10.7x2.3%€691.2m
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
BFSA Befesa
13.4x29.5%€740.0m
AAD Amadeus FiRe
12x7.2%€418.3m
DIL1 Viad
42.1x33.2%€917.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DIL1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DIL1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DIL1 42.1xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DIL1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DIL1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DIL1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.1x
Fair PE Ratio15x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DIL1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DIL1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€41.00
€53.35
+30.1%
4.7%€56.82€51.14n/a3
Nov ’25€34.00
€42.07
+23.7%
9.9%€46.24€37.91n/a2
Oct ’25€32.00
€40.56
+26.8%
9.1%€45.75€37.51n/a3
Sep ’25€30.80
€40.56
+31.7%
9.1%€45.75€37.51n/a3
Aug ’25€30.60
€42.67
+39.5%
6.2%€46.05€39.60n/a3
Jul ’25€31.60
€44.26
+40.1%
6.9%€46.43€39.93n/a3
Jun ’25€31.20
€44.26
+41.9%
6.9%€46.43€39.93n/a3
May ’25€33.20
€43.74
+31.8%
6.9%€45.89€39.46n/a3
Apr ’25€36.20
€43.74
+20.8%
6.9%€45.89€39.46n/a3
Mar ’25€34.40
€43.11
+25.3%
7.5%€46.36€39.87n/a2
Feb ’25€30.60
€42.37
+38.5%
6.2%€45.72€39.32n/a3
Jan ’25€32.60
€42.37
+30.0%
6.2%€45.72€39.32n/a3
Dec ’24€30.00
€37.97
+26.6%
10.1%€42.95€33.62n/a3
Nov ’24€22.40
€36.36
+62.3%
7.2%€39.41€33.00€34.003
Oct ’24€24.60
€36.36
+47.8%
7.2%€39.41€33.00€32.003
Sep ’24€26.00
€36.36
+39.8%
7.2%€39.41€33.00€30.803
Aug ’24€25.40
€34.51
+35.9%
7.0%€36.65€31.15€30.603
Jul ’24€24.80
€34.51
+39.2%
7.0%€36.65€31.15€31.603
Jun ’24€21.40
€33.17
+55.0%
6.8%€35.45€30.90€31.202
May ’24€16.30
€37.77
+131.7%
3.7%€39.17€36.38€33.202
Apr ’24€18.80
€37.77
+100.9%
3.7%€39.17€36.38€36.202
Mar ’24€24.00
€37.77
+57.4%
3.7%€39.17€36.38€34.402
Feb ’24€26.80
€42.68
+59.2%
3.4%€44.15€41.21€30.602
Jan ’24€23.00
€42.68
+85.6%
3.4%€44.15€41.21€32.602
Dec ’23€28.00
€42.68
+52.4%
3.4%€44.15€41.21€30.002
Nov ’23€37.20
€48.58
+30.6%
3.0%€50.05€47.11€22.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies