Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Bilfinger SE (ETR:GBF) Hampers Share Price

XTRA:GBF
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x Bilfinger SE (ETR:GBF) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Bilfinger as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Bilfinger

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:GBF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 5th 2024
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How Is Bilfinger's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Bilfinger's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 304% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 9.6% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.4% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Bilfinger's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Bilfinger maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Bilfinger.

If you're unsure about the strength of Bilfinger's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bilfinger might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.