Stock Analysis

Is Befesa (ETR:BFSA) Using Too Much Debt?

XTRA:BFSA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Befesa S.A. (ETR:BFSA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Befesa's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Befesa had €513.4m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has €119.6m in cash leading to net debt of about €393.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:BFSA Debt to Equity History March 17th 2021

How Healthy Is Befesa's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Befesa had liabilities of €129.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €596.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €119.6m and €91.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €515.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Befesa has a market capitalization of €1.84b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Befesa's debt is 3.3 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.9 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Importantly, Befesa's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 32% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Befesa's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Befesa's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Mulling over Befesa's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Befesa stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Befesa (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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