AB Volvo Valuation

Is VOL4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOL4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOL4 (€23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOL4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOL4?

Key metric: As VOL4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOL4. This is calculated by dividing VOL4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOL4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
EarningsSEK 51.70b
Market CapSEK 552.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOL4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOL4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.7x11.6%€29.0b
8TRA Traton
5.6x8.4%€14.4b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
19.5x10.8%€11.7b
KGX KION GROUP
12.8x17.4%€4.3b
VOL4 AB Volvo
10.7x1.0%€552.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOL4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
VOL4 10.7xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOL4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOL4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOL4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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