Daimler Truck Holding AG

XTRA:DTG Stock Report

Market Cap: €34.0b

Daimler Truck Holding Valuation

Is DTG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DTG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DTG (€42.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€59.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DTG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DTG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DTG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.3x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DTG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DTG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.8x
8TRA Traton
6.3x2.4%€16.7b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
20.3x9.9%€11.2b
KGX KION GROUP
16.6x20.6%€5.7b
JUN3 Jungheinrich
11.9x6.5%€3.6b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
9x6.3%€34.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DTG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DTG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DTG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DTG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DTG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€42.31
€53.22
+25.8%
13.1%€65.00€35.00n/a18
Apr ’25€46.96
€51.88
+10.5%
15.6%€65.00€35.00n/a17
Mar ’25€44.62
€43.38
-2.8%
12.6%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Feb ’25€33.42
€43.20
+29.3%
12.5%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Jan ’25€34.02
€43.26
+27.2%
12.9%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Dec ’24€30.12
€43.02
+42.8%
12.4%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Nov ’24€29.34
€43.94
+49.8%
14.0%€58.00€31.00n/a18
Oct ’24€32.82
€43.89
+33.7%
14.0%€58.00€31.00n/a18
Sep ’24€32.08
€43.59
+35.9%
14.2%€58.00€31.00n/a17
Aug ’24€33.33
€42.61
+27.8%
14.3%€56.00€31.00n/a17
Jul ’24€33.00
€41.62
+26.1%
15.6%€56.00€31.00n/a16
Jun ’24€28.38
€41.16
+45.0%
15.7%€56.00€31.00n/a17
May ’24€29.94
€40.16
+34.1%
13.5%€53.00€31.00€42.3117
Apr ’24€31.11
€39.92
+28.3%
13.2%€53.00€31.00€46.9617
Mar ’24€30.26
€39.52
+30.6%
14.0%€53.00€31.00€44.6216
Feb ’24€31.29
€39.52
+26.3%
14.0%€53.00€31.00€33.4216
Jan ’24€28.95
€39.71
+37.2%
14.6%€53.00€31.00€34.0216
Dec ’23€31.35
€39.46
+25.9%
14.9%€53.00€31.00€30.1216
Nov ’23€27.68
€38.27
+38.3%
17.6%€53.00€26.00€29.3415
Oct ’23€23.35
€38.34
+64.2%
16.6%€52.00€28.00€32.8215
Sep ’23€25.22
€38.34
+52.1%
16.6%€52.00€28.00€32.0815
Aug ’23€27.02
€38.07
+40.9%
16.9%€52.00€28.00€33.3315
Jul ’23€25.04
€40.46
+61.6%
14.7%€53.00€35.00€33.0015
Jun ’23€29.59
€40.06
+35.4%
15.4%€53.00€35.00€28.3815
May ’23€25.80
€39.53
+53.2%
15.6%€50.00€30.00€29.9415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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