Volution Group Valuation

Is VO1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VO1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VO1 (€6.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VO1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VO1?

Key metric: As VO1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VO1. This is calculated by dividing VO1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VO1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26x
EarningsUK£42.80m
Market CapUK£1.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VO1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VO1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.7x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
14.6x43.5%€412.4m
ST5 STEICO
10x-6.9%€276.0m
WUG Westag
24.1xn/a€117.0m
TSS InnoTec TSS
10.1xn/a€58.4m
VO1 Volution Group
26x12.1%€1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VO1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VO1 26.0xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the European Building industry average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VO1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VO1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VO1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VO1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€6.85
€7.55
+10.2%
9.7%€8.40€6.12n/a8
Nov ’25€6.80
€7.54
+10.9%
9.7%€8.39€6.11n/a8
Oct ’25€7.35
€6.96
-5.3%
15.6%€8.39€5.15n/a8
Sep ’25€6.70
€6.19
-7.6%
10.3%€7.13€5.11n/a8
Aug ’25€6.45
€6.19
-4.0%
10.3%€7.13€5.11n/a8
Jul ’25€5.30
€5.75
+8.5%
6.0%€6.28€5.00n/a8
Jun ’25€5.45
€5.75
+5.6%
6.0%€6.28€5.00n/a8
May ’25€5.00
€5.79
+15.9%
6.0%€6.32€5.03n/a8
Apr ’25€4.94
€5.79
+17.3%
6.0%€6.32€5.03n/a8
Mar ’25€4.80
€5.47
+13.9%
8.6%€5.96€4.44n/a7
Feb ’25€5.10
€5.36
+5.0%
10.3%€5.97€4.45n/a8
Jan ’25€4.98
€5.17
+3.9%
9.0%€5.80€4.41n/a8
Dec ’24€4.52
€5.08
+12.4%
9.0%€5.76€4.38n/a8
Nov ’24€4.12
€5.08
+23.2%
8.7%€5.79€4.40€6.808
Oct ’24€4.08
€5.12
+25.5%
7.9%€5.78€4.41€7.357
Sep ’24€4.42
€5.23
+18.2%
8.6%€5.82€4.45€6.707
Aug ’24€4.68
€5.26
+12.4%
8.4%€5.78€4.42€6.456
Jul ’24€4.32
€5.40
+25.1%
6.4%€5.84€4.89€5.305
Jun ’24€5.20
€5.28
+1.5%
7.7%€5.75€4.60€5.455
May ’24€5.05
€4.94
-2.3%
14.4%€5.67€3.57€5.006
Apr ’24€4.88
€4.91
+0.7%
14.3%€5.67€3.57€4.946
Mar ’24€4.12
€4.61
+11.9%
14.5%€5.33€3.57€4.806
Feb ’24€4.30
€4.61
+7.3%
14.5%€5.33€3.57€5.106
Jan ’24€4.16
€4.47
+7.4%
14.6%€5.27€3.61€4.985
Dec ’23€4.02
€4.47
+11.2%
14.6%€5.27€3.61€4.525
Nov ’23€3.60
€4.47
+24.1%
14.6%€5.27€3.61€4.125

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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