UFP Industries, Inc.

DB:UF3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.3b

UFP Industries Valuation

Is UF3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UF3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€40.21
Fair Value
157.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: UF3 (€103.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€40.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UF3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UF3?

Key metric: As UF3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UF3. This is calculated by dividing UF3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UF3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsUS$414.56m
Market CapUS$6.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UF3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UF3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
14.2x43.5%€401.8m
ST5 STEICO
11.2x-7.0%€310.5m
WUG Westag
24.3xn/a€116.6m
TSS InnoTec TSS
10.3xn/a€60.3m
UF3 UFP Industries
15.9x6.7%€6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UF3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UF3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UF3 15.9xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UF3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the European Building industry average (22.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UF3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UF3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UF3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UF3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€103.70
€127.59
+23.0%
10.7%€148.69€112.24n/a4
Feb ’26€112.95
€125.50
+11.1%
10.3%€143.56€111.14n/a4
Jan ’26€106.20
€125.50
+18.2%
10.3%€143.56€111.14n/a4
Dec ’25€126.85
€125.50
-1.1%
10.3%€143.56€111.14n/a4
Nov ’25€111.40
€125.97
+13.1%
9.3%€142.72€110.50n/a5
Oct ’25€116.60
€122.09
+4.7%
11.2%€139.56€108.05n/a5
Sep ’25€107.70
€122.09
+13.4%
11.2%€139.56€108.05n/a5
Aug ’25€120.80
€128.52
+6.4%
11.5%€144.99€110.82n/a6
Jul ’25€103.25
€113.26
+9.7%
10.2%€129.58€95.08n/a6
Jun ’25€108.00
€113.26
+4.9%
10.2%€129.58€95.08n/a6
May ’25€107.10
€114.64
+7.0%
9.6%€130.01€95.40n/a7
Apr ’25€113.00
€110.90
-1.9%
10.1%€126.62€94.27n/a6
Mar ’25€105.20
€110.90
+5.4%
10.1%€126.62€94.27n/a6
Feb ’25€104.20
€101.12
-3.0%
5.3%€109.32€92.92€112.956
Jan ’25€113.80
€101.12
-11.1%
5.3%€109.32€92.92€106.206
Dec ’24€99.64
€104.57
+4.9%
5.1%€113.56€96.52€126.856
Nov ’24€88.40
€104.57
+18.3%
5.1%€113.56€96.52€111.406
Oct ’24€97.26
€105.41
+8.4%
6.1%€111.83€93.49€116.606
Sep ’24€95.44
€105.41
+10.4%
6.1%€111.83€93.49€107.706
Aug ’24€92.50
€96.65
+4.5%
4.5%€102.12€91.18€120.806
Jul ’24€88.36
€96.09
+8.7%
4.6%€103.15€92.10€103.256
Jun ’24€72.44
€96.09
+32.6%
4.6%€103.15€92.10€108.006
May ’24€69.36
€96.00
+38.4%
4.8%€104.90€88.98€107.106
Apr ’24€70.26
€96.00
+36.6%
4.8%€104.90€88.98€113.006
Mar ’24€80.00
€95.60
+19.5%
6.9%€105.66€83.02€105.206
Feb ’24€85.00
€87.39
+2.8%
6.8%€93.67€78.06€104.206
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
€127.06
Fair Value
18.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/23 06:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UFP Industries, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Reuben GarnerBenchmark Company
Ketan MamtoraBMO Capital Markets Equity Research