Johnson Controls International plc

DB:TYIA Stock Report

Market Cap: €41.5b

Johnson Controls International Valuation

Is TYIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TYIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TYIA (€59.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€53.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TYIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TYIA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TYIA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TYIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TYIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
ST5 STEICO
16.6x4.3%€498.6m
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
7.5x7.6%€453.6m
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
9.1x6.3%€34.5b
RHM Rheinmetall
39.3x24.6%€22.8b
TYIA Johnson Controls International
21.1x12.0%€44.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TYIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TYIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TYIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the European Building industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TYIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TYIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.1x
Fair PE Ratio25x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TYIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TYIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€59.75
€62.79
+5.1%
9.2%€73.85€50.48n/a22
Apr ’25€60.40
€59.36
-1.7%
9.5%€69.08€44.21n/a22
Mar ’25€54.52
€59.47
+9.1%
9.6%€69.61€44.55n/a22
Feb ’25€48.51
€59.41
+22.5%
9.4%€69.41€44.42n/a21
Jan ’25€51.78
€59.43
+14.8%
9.8%€72.88€49.19n/a21
Dec ’24€49.00
€65.51
+33.7%
9.0%€76.90€54.39n/a21
Nov ’24€47.59
€65.51
+37.7%
9.0%€76.90€54.39n/a21
Oct ’24€50.70
€69.62
+37.3%
6.8%€81.86€60.92n/a22
Sep ’24€54.16
€67.58
+24.8%
7.6%€79.27€53.46n/a22
Aug ’24€62.76
€66.53
+6.0%
7.7%€77.27€52.11n/a21
Jul ’24€61.48
€66.40
+8.0%
7.6%€79.71€53.14n/a21
Jun ’24€55.10
€67.68
+22.8%
7.6%€81.41€54.27n/a21
May ’24€54.20
€65.11
+20.1%
8.4%€78.95€52.64n/a20
Apr ’24€54.19
€67.30
+24.2%
9.4%€84.81€53.47€60.4019
Mar ’24€58.79
€68.23
+16.1%
9.6%€86.29€54.40€54.5220
Feb ’24€59.70
€66.22
+10.9%
9.6%€83.75€52.80€48.5120
Jan ’24€59.93
€65.75
+9.7%
8.1%€75.82€55.22€51.7820
Dec ’23€63.06
€66.17
+4.9%
8.9%€80.75€56.05€49.0020
Nov ’23€58.85
€64.59
+9.7%
12.7%€86.88€54.17€47.5921
Oct ’23€51.35
€64.82
+26.2%
12.0%€85.46€54.29€50.7021
Sep ’23€53.00
€64.82
+22.3%
12.0%€85.46€54.29€54.1621
Aug ’23€52.63
€62.32
+18.4%
17.1%€93.90€48.91€62.7621
Jul ’23€45.78
€66.35
+44.9%
12.6%€91.93€56.50€61.4821
Jun ’23€51.55
€65.31
+26.7%
12.0%€89.44€54.97€55.1021
May ’23€57.92
€74.07
+27.9%
10.9%€90.85€54.69€54.2020
Apr ’23€60.00
€75.28
+25.5%
10.9%€89.21€53.71€54.1920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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