Johnson Controls International plc

DB:TYIA Stock Report

Market Cap: €48.3b

Johnson Controls International Valuation

Is TYIA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TYIA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€61.79
Fair Value
18.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TYIA (€73.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€61.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TYIA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TYIA?

Key metric: As TYIA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TYIA. This is calculated by dividing TYIA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TYIA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.8x
EarningsUS$1.43b
Market CapUS$52.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TYIA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TYIA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43x
ST5 STEICO
12.9x-7.0%€356.3m
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
74.3x73.3%€438.4m
RHM Rheinmetall
74x30.4%€59.5b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
10.7x15.7%€31.1b
TYIA Johnson Controls International
36.8x17.7%€52.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TYIA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the peer average (43x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TYIA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TYIA 36.8xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TYIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the European Building industry average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TYIA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TYIA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TYIA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TYIA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€73.32
€87.35
+19.1%
7.6%€96.97€72.96n/a21
Mar ’26€80.47
€90.55
+12.5%
7.4%€100.37€75.52n/a21
Feb ’26€74.84
€84.87
+13.4%
6.5%€92.03€75.73n/a21
Jan ’26€75.73
€84.21
+11.2%
7.0%€91.72€75.48n/a22
Dec ’25€78.68
€83.12
+5.6%
8.3%€92.42€68.72n/a22
Nov ’25€68.76
€74.26
+8.0%
10.6%€87.73€55.41n/a22
Oct ’25€69.13
€69.94
+1.2%
11.1%€85.82€54.20n/a22
Sep ’25€63.77
€67.77
+6.3%
10.9%€77.30€53.30n/a21
Aug ’25€65.66
€69.47
+5.8%
12.4%€86.18€54.95n/a21
Jul ’25€61.41
€64.48
+5.0%
10.8%€76.78€50.56n/a21
Jun ’25€65.64
€62.96
-4.1%
10.6%€75.59€49.78n/a21
May ’25€60.56
€62.82
+3.7%
9.0%€73.89€50.51n/a22
Apr ’25€60.40
€59.36
-1.7%
9.5%€69.08€44.21n/a22
Mar ’25€54.52
€59.47
+9.1%
9.6%€69.61€44.55€80.4722
Feb ’25€48.51
€59.41
+22.5%
9.4%€69.41€44.42€74.8421
Jan ’25€51.78
€59.43
+14.8%
9.8%€72.88€49.19€75.7321
Dec ’24€49.00
€65.51
+33.7%
9.0%€76.90€54.39€78.6821
Nov ’24€47.59
€65.51
+37.7%
9.0%€76.90€54.39€68.7621
Oct ’24€50.70
€69.62
+37.3%
6.8%€81.86€60.92€69.1322
Sep ’24€54.16
€67.58
+24.8%
7.6%€79.27€53.46€63.7722
Aug ’24€62.76
€66.53
+6.0%
7.7%€77.27€52.11€65.6621
Jul ’24€61.48
€66.40
+8.0%
7.6%€79.71€53.14€61.4121
Jun ’24€55.10
€67.68
+22.8%
7.6%€81.41€54.27€65.6421
May ’24€54.20
€65.11
+20.1%
8.4%€78.95€52.64€60.5620
Apr ’24€54.19
€67.20
+24.0%
9.1%€84.69€53.39€60.4020
Mar ’24€58.79
€68.23
+16.1%
9.6%€86.29€54.40€54.5220
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
€87.07
Fair Value
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/17 10:56
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Johnson Controls International plc is covered by 49 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research