Masco Valuation

Is MSQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSQ (€69.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€76.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSQ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSQ?

Key metric: As MSQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MSQ. This is calculated by dividing MSQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MSQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.3x
EarningsUS$831.00m
Market CapUS$16.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MSQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MSQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
14.2x43.5%€401.8m
ST5 STEICO
8.7x-7.2%€240.8m
WUG Westag
24.8xn/a€119.6m
MTX MTU Aero Engines
24.5x11.5%€17.4b
MSQ Masco
19.3x8.8%€16.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MSQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MSQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MSQ 19.3xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MSQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the European Building industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MSQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MSQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€69.58
€83.22
+19.6%
6.3%€90.66€72.34n/a18
Dec ’25€75.64
€80.19
+6.0%
6.7%€88.26€68.96n/a18
Nov ’25€73.10
€80.31
+9.9%
6.9%€88.59€69.21n/a18
Oct ’25€74.88
€74.22
-0.9%
7.8%€81.05€61.23n/a18
Sep ’25€70.82
€76.24
+7.7%
7.8%€83.25€62.90n/a18
Aug ’25€71.70
€76.24
+6.3%
7.8%€83.25€62.90n/a18
Jul ’25€61.62
€75.48
+22.5%
7.7%€84.27€64.60n/a18
Jun ’25€62.74
€74.21
+18.3%
7.7%€82.96€63.60n/a18
May ’25€65.04
€74.52
+14.6%
8.6%€83.94€60.55n/a19
Apr ’25€71.50
€73.36
+2.6%
7.7%€82.02€59.83n/a20
Mar ’25€70.50
€73.36
+4.1%
7.7%€82.02€59.83n/a20
Feb ’25€63.00
€64.60
+2.5%
10.0%€75.71€54.94n/a19
Jan ’25€60.00
€60.99
+1.7%
10.6%€75.11€47.63n/a18
Dec ’24€55.50
€58.90
+6.1%
9.5%€70.34€48.77€75.6418
Nov ’24€48.80
€58.99
+20.9%
9.7%€70.64€48.98€73.1018
Oct ’24€51.50
€63.79
+23.9%
10.4%€70.94€48.62€74.8817
Sep ’24€54.50
€60.92
+11.8%
12.7%€68.75€41.25€70.8218
Aug ’24€55.00
€60.19
+9.4%
12.4%€68.21€40.92€71.7018
Jul ’24€52.50
€53.76
+2.4%
11.5%€64.43€40.84€61.6218
Jun ’24€45.20
€53.76
+18.9%
11.5%€64.43€40.84€62.7418
May ’24€48.40
€53.76
+11.1%
11.5%€64.43€40.84€65.0418
Apr ’24€44.80
€54.58
+21.8%
11.5%€66.68€42.26€71.5017
Mar ’24€49.20
€54.58
+10.9%
11.5%€66.68€42.26€70.5017
Feb ’24€48.60
€51.78
+6.5%
15.6%€68.22€36.88€63.0018
Jan ’24€44.20
€52.22
+18.1%
16.3%€69.69€37.67€60.0018
Dec ’23€48.80
€55.25
+13.2%
16.6%€74.27€40.14€55.5018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 21:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Masco Corporation is covered by 39 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research