Marubeni Valuation

Is MARA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MARA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MARA (€17.53) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€7.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MARA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MARA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MARA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.2x
PEG Ratio4.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MARA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MARA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
BNR Brenntag
15.3x7.7%€11.0b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.5x5.7%€32.6b
RHM Rheinmetall
41x24.5%€23.7b
8TRA Traton
6.2x2.4%€16.5b
MARA Marubeni
10.4x2.4%€4.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MARA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MARA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MARA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MARA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MARA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MARA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MARA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.61
€17.48
-0.8%
7.7%€19.54€15.15n/a11
Apr ’25€15.95
€16.94
+6.2%
7.9%€19.31€15.28n/a11
Mar ’25€15.39
€16.76
+8.9%
8.9%€19.42€14.44n/a11
Feb ’25€16.16
€16.95
+4.9%
7.7%€19.05€14.77n/a11
Jan ’25€14.18
€17.16
+21.1%
7.0%€19.42€15.06n/a11
Dec ’24€14.79
€16.72
+13.1%
7.1%€18.97€14.59n/a11
Nov ’24€14.30
€16.34
+14.3%
7.4%€18.31€14.52n/a11
Oct ’24€14.86
€16.45
+10.7%
7.2%€18.33€14.54n/a11
Sep ’24€15.23
€16.16
+6.1%
9.2%€18.41€12.70n/a11
Aug ’24€16.00
€16.36
+2.3%
8.3%€18.75€13.11n/a11
Jul ’24€15.51
€15.04
-3.0%
13.9%€18.23€10.84n/a11
Jun ’24€13.62
€13.98
+2.6%
10.7%€16.55€11.30n/a11
May ’24€12.95
€13.61
+5.2%
9.0%€15.25€11.27€16.7011
Apr ’24€12.35
€14.20
+15.0%
11.2%€17.06€12.08€15.9510
Mar ’24€12.34
€13.35
+8.2%
13.8%€16.53€10.33€15.3910
Feb ’24€11.30
€12.95
+14.7%
13.2%€16.96€10.60€16.1610
Jan ’24€10.72
€12.50
+16.6%
14.3%€16.54€10.34€14.1810
Dec ’23€10.84
€12.26
+13.1%
14.4%€16.58€10.36€14.7910
Nov ’23€9.28
€11.94
+28.6%
14.0%€16.34€10.21€14.3010
Oct ’23€8.82
€12.44
+41.1%
14.1%€16.74€9.84€14.869
Sep ’23€10.04
€12.40
+23.5%
15.5%€17.20€10.11€15.239
Aug ’23€9.36
€11.90
+27.2%
11.8%€15.13€10.16€16.009
Jul ’23€8.44
€11.91
+41.0%
9.0%€14.65€10.46€15.519
Jun ’23€10.09
€12.27
+21.6%
12.9%€15.45€9.12€13.629
May ’23€10.65
€12.06
+13.2%
13.2%€15.56€9.19€12.959

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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