Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MBH Corporation PLC (FRA:M8H0) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for MBH
How Much Debt Does MBH Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that MBH had UK£34.2m of debt in June 2023, down from UK£38.0m, one year before. On the flip side, it has UK£4.52m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£29.6m.
A Look At MBH's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that MBH had liabilities of UK£38.9m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£47.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£4.52m as well as receivables valued at UK£18.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£63.7m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the UK£2.01m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, MBH would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
MBH shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.96 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, MBH's EBIT was down 51% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MBH will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, MBH recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
To be frank both MBH's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like MBH has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for MBH you should be aware of, and 4 of them can't be ignored.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DB:M8H0
MBH
An investment holding company, operates in the education, construction service, and leisure sectors in the United Kingdom, Oceania, Asia, and North America.
Good value with worrying balance sheet.