Mueller Water Products, Inc.

DB:JT5 Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.4b

Mueller Water Products Valuation

Is JT5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JT5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JT5 (€21.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JT5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JT5?

Key metric: As JT5 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JT5. This is calculated by dividing JT5's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JT5's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.8x
EarningsUS$115.90m
Market CapUS$3.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JT5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JT5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
GIL DMG MORI
22.3xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
15.2x16.0%€3.8b
G1A GEA Group
19.6x8.3%€8.0b
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
24.2x18.4%€1.5b
JT5 Mueller Water Products
30.8x24.6%€3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JT5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JT5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
JT5 30.8xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JT5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JT5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JT5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.8x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JT5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JT5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.80
€24.80
+13.8%
8.1%€28.25€21.66n/a6
Dec ’25€23.40
€24.80
+6.0%
8.1%€28.25€21.66n/a6
Nov ’25€19.80
€21.79
+10.0%
8.7%€23.93€18.41n/a6
Oct ’25€19.30
€21.22
+9.9%
6.8%€22.90€18.32n/a6
Sep ’25€18.90
€21.22
+12.3%
6.8%€22.90€18.32n/a6
Aug ’25€19.00
€19.85
+4.5%
10.0%€22.33€17.68n/a6
Jul ’25€16.50
€19.70
+19.4%
10.0%€22.34€17.68n/a6
Jun ’25€16.90
€19.70
+16.6%
10.0%€22.34€17.68n/a6
May ’25€15.00
€17.22
+14.8%
6.0%€18.79€15.97n/a6
Apr ’25€14.70
€16.71
+13.7%
9.9%€18.56€13.92n/a5
Mar ’25€14.40
€16.71
+16.0%
9.9%€18.56€13.92n/a5
Feb ’25€12.70
€14.59
+14.8%
11.0%€17.43€12.84n/a5
Jan ’25€13.10
€14.59
+11.3%
11.0%€17.43€12.84n/a5
Dec ’24€12.10
€14.38
+18.8%
11.9%€17.72€13.06€23.406
Nov ’24€11.60
€13.86
+19.5%
12.5%€17.27€12.72€19.806
Oct ’24€12.00
€13.86
+15.5%
12.5%€17.27€12.72€19.306
Sep ’24€13.00
€13.86
+6.6%
12.5%€17.27€12.72€18.906
Aug ’24€14.60
€14.44
-1.1%
13.8%€17.82€12.47€19.007
Jul ’24€14.80
€14.60
-1.4%
11.4%€17.41€12.83€16.507
Jun ’24€12.80
€14.29
+11.6%
11.6%€17.30€12.75€16.908
May ’24€12.10
€13.34
+10.2%
14.3%€16.78€10.25€15.008
Apr ’24€12.40
€13.34
+7.6%
14.3%€16.78€10.25€14.708
Mar ’24€13.00
€13.17
+1.3%
14.7%€16.86€10.30€14.408
Feb ’24€11.60
€11.62
+0.2%
14.2%€14.72€10.12€12.708
Jan ’24€10.10
€12.04
+19.2%
15.3%€15.62€9.76€13.109
Dec ’23€11.10
€12.04
+8.5%
15.3%€15.62€9.76€12.109

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 16:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mueller Water Products, Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HalloranBaird
Andrew BuscagliaBerenberg
Ryan ConnorsBoenning & Scattergood, Inc.