ASSA ABLOY Valuation

Is ALZC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALZC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALZC (€25.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€31.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALZC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALZC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALZC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.7x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALZC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALZC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
ST5 STEICO
17.3x4.3%€519.7m
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
7.4x7.6%€446.9m
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
9.1x6.3%€34.2b
RHM Rheinmetall
38.4x24.6%€22.2b
ALZC ASSA ABLOY
22.8x9.6%€327.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALZC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALZC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALZC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the European Building industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALZC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALZC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALZC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALZC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.19
€27.21
+8.0%
9.7%€30.86€23.50n/a18
Apr ’25€26.80
€26.94
+0.5%
10.7%€31.26€22.95n/a19
Mar ’25€26.40
€27.04
+2.4%
9.4%€31.90€22.60n/a20
Feb ’25€25.38
€26.44
+4.2%
11.5%€31.91€19.95n/a19
Jan ’25€26.14
€25.63
-1.9%
11.1%€30.49€20.18n/a18
Dec ’24€23.77
€24.79
+4.3%
11.1%€29.76€19.69n/a18
Nov ’24€20.27
€23.77
+17.3%
10.5%€27.73€19.08n/a18
Oct ’24€20.75
€24.38
+17.5%
9.7%€28.57€19.91n/a20
Sep ’24€20.75
€24.15
+16.4%
10.4%€28.32€18.88n/a21
Aug ’24€21.89
€24.37
+11.3%
10.4%€28.58€19.05n/a21
Jul ’24€21.60
€23.50
+8.8%
10.6%€28.47€18.70n/a22
Jun ’24€20.91
€23.42
+12.0%
10.4%€28.02€18.97n/a22
May ’24€21.39
€24.07
+12.5%
10.1%€28.65€19.39€25.3922
Apr ’24€21.90
€24.69
+12.8%
8.4%€28.60€20.55€26.8021
Mar ’24€22.84
€24.84
+8.8%
7.7%€28.76€22.47€26.4021
Feb ’24€21.59
€23.78
+10.1%
6.8%€27.08€21.52€25.3821
Jan ’24€20.33
€23.80
+17.1%
7.1%€27.22€20.69€26.1423
Dec ’23€21.93
€23.90
+9.0%
7.5%€27.43€20.84€23.7723
Nov ’23€20.54
€24.17
+17.7%
9.0%€28.95€20.22€20.2723
Oct ’23€18.97
€24.29
+28.1%
9.5%€28.96€19.49€20.7522
Sep ’23€19.86
€24.96
+25.7%
9.4%€29.42€19.80€20.7523
Aug ’23€22.84
€26.05
+14.0%
9.4%€30.23€20.34€21.8923
Jul ’23€20.07
€26.57
+32.4%
9.0%€30.72€20.95€21.6023
Jun ’23€22.98
€27.76
+20.8%
8.6%€31.44€20.01€20.9122
May ’23€23.85
€28.07
+17.7%
8.9%€31.87€20.28€21.3922

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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