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Vista Outdoor Valuation

Is 5VO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5VO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5VO (€42.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€129.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5VO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5VO?

Key metric: As 5VO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5VO. This is calculated by dividing 5VO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5VO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$2.69b
Market CapUS$2.61b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5VO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5VO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
TNIE tonies
2x18.0%€809.4m
ZPF Zapf Creation
3.1xn/a€199.4m
H9Y HanseYachts
0.2xn/a€34.3m
BOSS Hugo Boss
0.7x4.8%€3.1b
5VO Vista Outdoor
1x2.4%€2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5VO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5VO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5VO 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies12PS01.22.43.64.86+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5VO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5VO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5VO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5VO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5VO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€40.01
0%
4.5%€42.59€37.86n/a4
Jan ’26n/a
€40.01
0%
4.5%€42.59€37.86n/a4
Dec ’25€42.07
€40.01
-4.9%
4.5%€42.59€37.86n/a4
Nov ’25€40.20
€38.48
-4.3%
4.0%€41.02€36.46n/a5
Oct ’25€35.01
€37.49
+7.1%
3.2%€39.42€35.84n/a6
Sep ’25€35.47
€38.33
+8.1%
3.2%€40.30€36.64n/a6
Aug ’25€37.55
€38.35
+2.1%
1.9%€39.63€37.79n/a5
Jul ’25€34.79
€37.46
+7.7%
5.4%€40.02€34.43n/a4
Jun ’25€31.45
€34.92
+11.0%
6.4%€37.68€31.25n/a5
May ’25€32.78
€34.73
+6.0%
7.3%€37.55€30.98n/a6
Apr ’25€30.36
€32.49
+7.0%
8.2%€37.13€28.77n/a6
Mar ’25€28.70
€32.49
+13.2%
8.2%€37.13€28.77n/a6
Feb ’25€25.82
€30.18
+16.9%
11.3%€36.58€26.52n/a6
Jan ’25€26.82
€30.18
+12.5%
11.3%€36.58€26.52n/a6
Dec ’24€25.70
€30.78
+19.8%
14.4%€36.75€23.89€42.076
Nov ’24€23.50
€32.15
+36.8%
17.4%€37.82€23.64€40.205
Oct ’24€31.24
€34.83
+11.5%
15.0%€42.63€26.31€35.015
Sep ’24€26.82
€34.83
+29.9%
15.0%€42.63€26.31€35.475
Aug ’24€27.36
€34.83
+27.3%
15.0%€42.63€26.31€37.555
Jul ’24€25.52
€35.00
+37.1%
15.9%€43.06€25.65€34.795
Jun ’24€24.74
€33.57
+35.7%
12.6%€37.20€25.40€31.455
May ’24€21.22
€33.12
+56.1%
13.9%€37.51€24.70€32.785
Apr ’24€24.59
€33.94
+38.0%
13.9%€38.45€25.32€30.365
Mar ’24€26.77
€32.11
+20.0%
16.5%€37.98€25.01€28.706
Feb ’24€26.75
€33.88
+26.7%
21.0%€41.40€23.92€25.826
Jan ’24€22.76
€38.19
+67.8%
20.9%€46.89€25.94€26.827

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/11/28 11:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vista Outdoor Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rommel DionisioAegis Capital Corporation
Brian RuttenburBB&T Capital Markets
Anna GlaessgenB. Riley Securities, Inc.