Epiroc Valuation

Is 3AD1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3AD1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3AD1 (€19.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€19.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3AD1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3AD1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3AD1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.5x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3AD1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3AD1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
8TRA Traton
6.1x2.7%€16.1b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.2x5.4%€31.6b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
20.1x10.3%€11.6b
KGX KION GROUP
17.1x20.6%€5.9b
3AD1 Epiroc
29.8x8.8%€264.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3AD1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3AD1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3AD1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3AD1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3AD1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.8x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3AD1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3AD1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.71
€17.12
-13.1%
12.5%€22.33€14.17n/a20
May ’25€17.47
€16.96
-2.9%
12.6%€22.18€14.08n/a20
Apr ’25€17.61
€16.52
-6.2%
10.2%€19.82€13.79n/a17
Mar ’25€17.07
€17.04
-0.2%
10.2%€20.38€14.18n/a18
Feb ’25€16.33
€17.14
+5.0%
10.4%€20.39€14.18n/a18
Jan ’25€18.14
€17.97
-0.9%
11.1%€20.71€14.41n/a18
Dec ’24€17.06
€17.23
+1.0%
9.7%€20.13€13.65n/a18
Nov ’24€15.46
€16.87
+9.2%
10.9%€20.74€13.20n/a18
Oct ’24€17.72
€16.93
-4.4%
11.5%€20.55€13.08n/a19
Sep ’24€17.58
€17.13
-2.5%
11.3%€20.53€13.07n/a19
Aug ’24€18.00
€17.52
-2.7%
11.7%€21.26€13.54n/a21
Jul ’24€16.83
€16.98
+0.9%
13.0%€21.28€13.20n/a21
Jun ’24€16.32
€16.99
+4.1%
13.3%€21.06€13.15n/a22
May ’24€18.31
€17.26
-5.8%
14.3%€21.68€13.01€17.4722
Apr ’24€18.04
€16.89
-6.3%
13.7%€21.76€11.99€17.6121
Mar ’24€18.18
€17.11
-5.9%
13.5%€22.12€12.19€17.0722
Feb ’24€17.75
€16.31
-8.1%
13.5%€20.27€11.90€16.3321
Jan ’24€17.13
€15.98
-6.7%
14.4%€19.72€11.66€18.1421
Dec ’23€18.20
€15.99
-12.1%
13.3%€20.12€11.89€17.0621
Nov ’23€15.38
€15.93
+3.6%
13.1%€20.17€11.92€15.4621
Oct ’23€14.04
€16.56
+18.0%
14.6%€22.95€12.85€17.7221
Sep ’23€15.09
€16.83
+11.5%
14.2%€23.35€13.07€17.5822
Aug ’23€16.76
€17.42
+4.0%
14.4%€24.00€13.44€18.0022
Jul ’23€14.48
€18.57
+28.3%
13.0%€23.33€13.34€16.8322
Jun ’23€18.01
€19.49
+8.2%
12.7%€23.85€13.64€16.3222
May ’23€19.17
€20.14
+5.1%
10.6%€24.14€13.81€18.3122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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