Stock Analysis

STEICO SE (ETR:ST5) Just Reported Yearly Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

XTRA:ST5
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It's been a pretty great week for STEICO SE (ETR:ST5) shareholders, with its shares surging 10% to €45.85 in the week since its latest full-year results. STEICO reported €464m in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €3.40 beat expectations, being 2.2% higher than what the analysts expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for STEICO

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XTRA:ST5 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 18th 2023

Taking into account the latest results, STEICO's six analysts currently expect revenues in 2023 to be €459.4m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €452.1m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.66 in 2023. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate, suggesting that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €76.00. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values STEICO at €95.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €53.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 0.9% by the end of 2023. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 15% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 5.2% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that STEICO's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply revenues will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

At least one of STEICO's six analysts has provided estimates out to 2025, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 3 warning signs for STEICO (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether STEICO is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.