Stock Analysis

We Think KROMI Logistik (ETR:K1R) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

XTRA:K1R
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that KROMI Logistik AG (ETR:K1R) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for KROMI Logistik

How Much Debt Does KROMI Logistik Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KROMI Logistik had debt of €9.01m at the end of June 2020, a reduction from €12.4m over a year. On the flip side, it has €3.78m in cash leading to net debt of about €5.23m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:K1R Debt to Equity History November 24th 2020

How Strong Is KROMI Logistik's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KROMI Logistik had liabilities of €15.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of €3.64m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €3.78m and €11.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €3.93m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given KROMI Logistik has a market capitalization of €28.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

KROMI Logistik shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.27 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for KROMI Logistik is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of €83k, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is KROMI Logistik's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, KROMI Logistik actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

KROMI Logistik's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about KROMI Logistik's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with KROMI Logistik (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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