Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that KROMI Logistik AG (ETR:K1R) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does KROMI Logistik Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that KROMI Logistik had €8.80m of debt in December 2020, down from €9.93m, one year before. However, it also had €3.83m in cash, and so its net debt is €4.97m.
How Healthy Is KROMI Logistik's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that KROMI Logistik had liabilities of €17.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of €3.48m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €3.83m and €13.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €4.19m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, KROMI Logistik has a market capitalization of €38.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
KROMI Logistik has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 305 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. We also note that KROMI Logistik improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive €609k. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since KROMI Logistik will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, KROMI Logistik actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
KROMI Logistik's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like KROMI Logistik is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for KROMI Logistik you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About XTRA:K1R
KROMI Logistik
KROMI Logistik AG engages in trading and sale of cutting tools and related services in Germany, rest of Europe, and Brazil.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.