JOST Werke SE Just Missed Earnings; Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Investors in JOST Werke SE (ETR:JST) had a good week, as its shares rose 8.5% to close at €52.60 following the release of its third-quarter results. Things were not great overall, with a surprise (statutory) loss of €0.04 per share on revenues of €383m, even though the analysts had been expecting a profit. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for JOST Werke from four analysts is for revenues of €1.66b in 2026. If met, it would imply a huge 21% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 128% to €4.84. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €1.66b and earnings per share (EPS) of €4.98 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

See our latest analysis for JOST Werke

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at €71.75, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values JOST Werke at €82.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €62.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting JOST Werke is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that JOST Werke's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 7.2% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect JOST Werke to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for JOST Werke. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €71.75, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for JOST Werke going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 3 warning signs for JOST Werke that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.