Stock Analysis

Is DMG MORI (ETR:GIL) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:GIL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that DMG MORI AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT (ETR:GIL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for DMG MORI

What Is DMG MORI's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that DMG MORI had €62.6m in debt in June 2020; about the same as the year before. But it also has €108.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €45.6m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:GIL Debt to Equity History December 15th 2020

How Strong Is DMG MORI's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that DMG MORI had liabilities of €846.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €132.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €108.2m in cash and €567.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €302.6m.

Since publicly traded DMG MORI shares are worth a total of €3.22b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, DMG MORI boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact DMG MORI's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 49% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is DMG MORI's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While DMG MORI has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, DMG MORI recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that DMG MORI has €45.6m in net cash. So we are not troubled with DMG MORI's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with DMG MORI .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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