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Fastenal Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of FAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

FAS (€55.81) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€47.56)

Is FAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FAS (€55.81) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€47.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FAS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FAS?

Key metric: As FAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FAS. This is calculated by dividing FAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	34.7x
Earnings	US$1.16b
Market Cap	US$40.11b

FAS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	5.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	23.7x
PEG Ratio	4.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.9x
BNR Brenntag	16.5x	15.6%	€9.0b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding	8.1x	11.9%	€27.3b
RHM Rheinmetall	39x	29.0%	€26.7b
ENR Siemens Energy	32.1x	23.4%	€38.0b
FAS Fastenal	34.7x	7.5%	€40.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	34.7x
Fair PE Ratio	18.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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