Today is shaping up negative for SFC Energy AG (ETR:F3C) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
After the downgrade, the five analysts covering SFC Energy are now predicting revenues of €157m in 2025. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 9.6% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to accumulate 5.0% to €0.39. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €175m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.79 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.
See our latest analysis for SFC Energy
It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 21% to €22.80.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that SFC Energy's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 9.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 23% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 9.6% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while SFC Energy's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for SFC Energy. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of SFC Energy.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for SFC Energy going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.