Stock Analysis

We Think DEUTZ (ETR:DEZ) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

XTRA:DEZ
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:DEZ) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for DEUTZ

What Is DEUTZ's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that DEUTZ had €54.1m of debt in September 2021, down from €92.9m, one year before. However, it does have €33.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €20.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:DEZ Debt to Equity History December 1st 2021

How Healthy Is DEUTZ's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that DEUTZ had liabilities of €461.6m due within a year, and liabilities of €230.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €33.5m and €181.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €477.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €723.4m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

DEUTZ has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.16. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Although DEUTZ made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated €77m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DEUTZ can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, DEUTZ generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, DEUTZ's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that DEUTZ can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with DEUTZ , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.