Stock Analysis

DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft's (ETR:DEZ) one-year returns climbed after last week's 6.6% gain, institutional investors must be happy

XTRA:DEZ
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, DEUTZ's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 13 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:DEZ) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 56% to be precise, is institutions. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained €46m in market cap last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 2.5% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of DEUTZ.

See our latest analysis for DEUTZ

ownership-breakdown
XTRA:DEZ Ownership Breakdown March 7th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About DEUTZ?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

DEUTZ already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see DEUTZ's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:DEZ Earnings and Revenue Growth March 7th 2024

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. DEUTZ is not owned by hedge funds. Our data shows that Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is the largest shareholder with 7.4% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 4.9% and 4.8%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 13 have the combined ownership of 50% in the company, suggesting that no single shareholder has significant control over the company.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of DEUTZ

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data cannot confirm that board members are holding shares personally. It is unusual not to have at least some personal holdings by board members, so our data might be flawed. A good next step would be to check how much the CEO is paid.

General Public Ownership

With a 39% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over DEUTZ. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Public Company Ownership

We can see that public companies hold 4.2% of the DEUTZ shares on issue. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for DEUTZ that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.