Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding SCHUMAG Aktiengesellschaft (DUSE:SCM)

DUSE:SCM
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It's not a stretch to say that SCHUMAG Aktiengesellschaft's (DUSE:SCM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Machinery industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for SCHUMAG

ps-multiple-vs-industry
DUSE:SCM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 28th 2023

How Has SCHUMAG Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at SCHUMAG over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on SCHUMAG will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on SCHUMAG's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For SCHUMAG?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like SCHUMAG's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 0.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that SCHUMAG's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On SCHUMAG's P/S

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

To our surprise, SCHUMAG revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for SCHUMAG that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SCHUMAG, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SCHUMAG is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.