Bank of America Corporation

DB:NCB Stock Report

Market Cap: €267.9b

Bank of America Valuation

Is NCB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NCB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NCB (€34.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€49.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NCB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NCB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NCB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NCB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.1x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
1398 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
4.1x3.7%HK$2.0t
1288 Agricultural Bank of China
4.4x5.1%HK$1.6t
WFC Wells Fargo
11.9x3.5%US$209.5b
NCB Bank of America
12.5x6.2%€288.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NCB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NCB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NCB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NCB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NCB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio9.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NCB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NCB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€34.70
€37.48
+8.0%
6.9%€43.02€31.80n/a23
Apr ’25€35.00
€35.46
+1.3%
9.1%€42.83€30.72n/a21
Mar ’25€31.84
€34.75
+9.1%
10.1%€46.21€28.65n/a23
Feb ’25€30.86
€34.58
+12.1%
11.0%€46.12€27.67n/a22
Jan ’25€30.62
€31.41
+2.6%
14.0%€45.18€25.30n/a23
Dec ’24€28.00
€30.78
+9.9%
15.6%€46.86€25.27n/a23
Nov ’24€24.88
€31.76
+27.6%
15.0%€46.26€25.49n/a22
Oct ’24€25.94
€32.82
+26.5%
13.0%€45.42€26.02n/a22
Sep ’24€26.92
€32.55
+20.9%
13.9%€45.49€25.99n/a22
Aug ’24€28.76
€31.94
+11.0%
15.4%€46.72€25.16n/a22
Jul ’24€26.38
€32.23
+22.2%
16.1%€44.70€25.54n/a22
Jun ’24€25.86
€33.37
+29.0%
14.1%€43.63€26.00n/a22
May ’24€26.58
€33.07
+24.4%
13.6%€42.90€25.56€35.2023
Apr ’24€26.15
€36.27
+38.7%
14.0%€47.97€25.83€35.0023
Mar ’24€32.03
€38.03
+18.8%
13.5%€49.66€30.92€31.8423
Feb ’24€32.73
€36.89
+12.7%
12.6%€47.34€30.04€30.8623
Jan ’24€30.91
€38.88
+25.8%
11.9%€49.02€30.16€30.6224
Dec ’23€34.77
€39.67
+14.1%
12.5%€52.25€30.40€28.0023
Nov ’23€36.72
€41.72
+13.6%
12.2%€55.67€32.39€24.8823
Oct ’23€31.63
€42.04
+32.9%
11.2%€54.95€33.97€25.9423
Sep ’23€33.26
€41.31
+24.2%
11.9%€53.58€33.12€26.9223
Aug ’23€32.79
€41.37
+26.2%
12.3%€53.85€33.29€28.7625
Jul ’23€30.16
€43.39
+43.9%
15.7%€61.38€31.89€26.3824
Jun ’23€34.35
€45.59
+32.7%
15.1%€62.59€31.48€25.8624
May ’23€34.00
€46.07
+35.5%
14.0%€62.03€37.60€26.5824

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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