Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc.

DB:MIU Stock Report

Market Cap: €16.3b

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Valuation

Is MIU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MIU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MIU (€22.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€21.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MIU is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MIU?

Key metric: As MIU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MIU. This is calculated by dividing MIU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MIU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsJP¥167.96b
Market CapJP¥2.62t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MIU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MIU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.5x
CBK Commerzbank
8x8.8%€17.1b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.3x10.7%€451.2m
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€108.9m
ITSA4 Itaúsa
7.7x12.1%R$105.3b
MIU Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group
15.6x12.0%€2.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MIU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MIU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MIU 15.6xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MIU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MIU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MIU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MIU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MIU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.40
€25.03
+11.8%
10.1%€30.78€20.93n/a11
Nov ’25€20.20
€25.27
+25.1%
10.3%€31.23€21.24n/a11
Oct ’25€21.20
€25.27
+19.2%
10.3%€31.23€21.24n/a11
Sep ’25€22.20
€25.92
+16.8%
10.5%€31.74€21.59n/a11
Aug ’25€23.60
€24.64
+4.4%
10.5%€30.17€20.52n/a11
Jul ’25€21.40
€22.59
+5.6%
6.8%€25.14€19.88n/a11
Jun ’25€21.40
€21.46
+0.3%
9.7%€25.19€18.75n/a11
May ’25€19.60
€21.59
+10.2%
8.1%€26.24€19.53n/a11
Apr ’25€19.70
€21.43
+8.8%
5.6%€23.67€18.87n/a11
Mar ’25€19.20
€20.28
+5.6%
6.1%€22.38€18.65n/a11
Feb ’25€18.50
€20.54
+11.0%
6.2%€22.64€18.87n/a11
Jan ’25€17.20
€20.70
+20.3%
5.3%€22.21€19.17n/a11
Dec ’24€17.20
€19.71
+14.6%
5.9%€21.54€17.97n/a11
Nov ’24€17.80
€20.08
+12.8%
6.0%€22.12€18.32€20.2011
Oct ’24€17.70
€19.66
+11.1%
8.7%€22.12€16.75€21.2011
Sep ’24€17.40
€19.22
+10.5%
10.1%€22.18€16.16€22.2012
Aug ’24€17.30
€18.82
+8.8%
10.4%€22.45€16.35€23.6012
Jul ’24€15.90
€18.40
+15.7%
11.3%€22.67€15.55€21.4012
Jun ’24€16.40
€18.57
+13.2%
13.6%€23.34€15.01€21.4012
May ’24€16.10
€18.58
+15.4%
12.1%€23.69€15.36€19.6011
Apr ’24€15.30
€18.91
+23.6%
13.1%€24.09€15.62€19.7010
Mar ’24€17.20
€17.99
+4.6%
13.7%€23.90€15.36€19.2010
Feb ’24€16.30
€17.93
+10.0%
13.9%€24.44€15.64€18.5010
Jan ’24€15.90
€17.54
+10.3%
13.7%€23.82€15.24€17.2010
Dec ’23€14.80
€17.56
+18.7%
15.5%€24.22€14.25€17.209
Nov ’23€14.20
€17.63
+24.2%
15.3%€24.29€14.50€17.809

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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