First Citizens BancShares, Inc.

DB:FC6A Stock Report

Market Cap: €30.5b

First Citizens BancShares Valuation

Is FC6A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FC6A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FC6A (€2200) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3718.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FC6A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FC6A?

Key metric: As FC6A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FC6A. This is calculated by dividing FC6A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FC6A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.8x
EarningsUS$2.53b
Market CapUS$32.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FC6A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FC6A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
CBK Commerzbank
7.9x8.8%€16.9b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.4x10.7%€461.8m
QNBTR QNB Bank
25.6xn/a₺914.6b
EMIRATESNBD Emirates NBD Bank PJSC
5.5x-4.5%د.إ125.1b
FC6A First Citizens BancShares
12.8x-8.2%€32.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FC6A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FC6A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FC6A 12.8xIndustry Avg. 7.2xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FC6A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FC6A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FC6A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.8x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FC6A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FC6A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2,200.00
€2,162.81
-1.7%
9.1%€2,529.43€1,909.00n/a11
Nov ’25€1,760.00
€1,964.98
+11.6%
4.5%€2,126.35€1,849.00n/a11
Oct ’25€1,630.00
€2,027.31
+24.4%
8.1%€2,462.90€1,791.20n/a11
Sep ’25€1,780.00
€2,129.30
+19.6%
7.0%€2,517.63€1,968.33n/a12
Aug ’25€1,920.00
€2,118.64
+10.3%
9.3%€2,543.75€1,711.25n/a12
Jul ’25€1,560.00
€1,890.32
+21.2%
6.9%€2,235.36€1,723.09n/a11
Jun ’25€1,590.00
€1,867.38
+17.4%
7.1%€2,208.24€1,702.19n/a11
May ’25€1,580.00
€1,875.73
+18.7%
9.1%€2,248.32€1,545.72n/a11
Apr ’25€1,470.00
€1,699.98
+15.6%
6.5%€1,847.40€1,477.92n/a10
Mar ’25€1,440.00
€1,676.33
+16.4%
6.0%€1,856.40€1,485.12n/a9
Feb ’25€1,380.00
€1,665.67
+20.7%
6.0%€1,844.60€1,475.68n/a9
Jan ’25€1,290.00
€1,620.38
+25.6%
8.6%€1,906.80€1,380.16n/a9
Dec ’24€1,330.00
€1,651.32
+24.2%
7.7%€1,865.20€1,417.55n/a9
Nov ’24€1,290.00
€1,647.91
+27.7%
8.3%€1,883.80€1,431.69€1,760.009
Oct ’24€1,280.00
€1,637.23
+27.9%
5.7%€1,749.92€1,437.77€1,630.008
Sep ’24€1,240.00
€1,598.70
+28.9%
3.0%€1,672.80€1,535.31€1,780.006
Aug ’24€1,290.00
€1,403.18
+8.8%
10.5%€1,612.94€1,226.75€1,920.006
Jul ’24€1,160.00
€1,411.71
+21.7%
10.6%€1,626.26€1,236.87€1,560.006
Jun ’24€1,160.00
€1,371.37
+18.2%
9.7%€1,611.75€1,220.33€1,590.005
May ’24€900.00
€1,010.30
+12.3%
9.8%€1,106.14€871.34€1,580.004
Apr ’24€855.00
€1,026.28
+20.0%
7.9%€1,107.00€945.56€1,470.002
Mar ’24€680.00
€849.97
+25.0%
5.3%€891.01€773.77€1,440.004
Feb ’24€700.00
€864.28
+23.5%
1.3%€875.81€852.76€1,380.004
Jan ’24€700.00
€986.90
+41.0%
2.6%€1,012.20€961.59€1,290.004
Dec ’23€765.00
€986.90
+29.0%
2.6%€1,012.20€961.59€1,330.004
Nov ’23€815.00
€986.90
+21.1%
2.6%€1,012.20€961.59€1,290.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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