Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of C3B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

C3B (€0.45) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€2.4)

Is C3B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C3B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C3B (€0.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C3B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C3B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for C3B. This is calculated by dividing C3B's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is C3B's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥57.33b

C3B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C3B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C3B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	14.2x
CBK Commerzbank	9x	7.8%	€19.6b
CBSH Commerce Bancshares	15.5x	1.0%	US$7.7b
SSB SouthState	15.5x	26.8%	US$7.3b
BCVN Banque Cantonale Vaudoise	16.7x	0.5%	CHF 7.5b
C3B Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank	3.7x	5.7%	€63.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C3B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C3B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	0.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	0.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C3B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C3B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C3B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	3.7x
Fair PE Ratio	10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C3B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C3B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€0.45	€0.48 +7.5%	20.1%	€0.61	€0.31	n/a	8
Sep ’25	€0.42	€0.47 +10.0%	21.6%	€0.61	€0.31	n/a	8
Aug ’25	€0.46	€0.44 -5.1%	26.1%	€0.63	€0.25	n/a	9
Jul ’25	€0.44	€0.41 -5.4%	21.3%	€0.52	€0.25	n/a	9
Jun ’25	€0.41	€0.41 -1.3%	22.8%	€0.52	€0.25	n/a	9
May ’25	€0.39	€0.40 +4.8%	22.1%	€0.53	€0.25	n/a	9
Apr ’25	€0.37	€0.40 +8.7%	25.3%	€0.53	€0.25	n/a	9
Mar ’25	€0.36	€0.38 +4.3%	23.0%	€0.52	€0.25	n/a	9
Feb ’25	€0.34	€0.38 +10.2%	22.0%	€0.52	€0.25	n/a	10
Jan ’25	€0.36	€0.36 -0.04%	20.5%	€0.48	€0.25	n/a	9
Dec ’24	€0.33	€0.36 +9.0%	22.4%	€0.48	€0.25	n/a	9
Nov ’24	€0.34	€0.36 +6.4%	20.9%	€0.48	€0.26	n/a	10
Oct ’24	€0.33	€0.38 +12.6%	18.9%	€0.48	€0.27	€0.45	9
Sep ’24	€0.31	€0.37 +18.7%	17.8%	€0.47	€0.28	€0.42	9
Aug ’24	€0.32	€0.36 +14.6%	16.4%	€0.45	€0.28	€0.46	9
Jul ’24	€0.32	€0.37 +15.5%	17.4%	€0.45	€0.28	€0.44	8
Jun ’24	€0.31	€0.38 +22.7%	19.0%	€0.47	€0.27	€0.41	8
May ’24	€0.33	€0.37 +12.0%	17.4%	€0.44	€0.27	€0.39	8
Apr ’24	€0.35	€0.36 +4.5%	15.4%	€0.45	€0.27	€0.37	8
Mar ’24	€0.31	€0.37 +16.7%	15.7%	€0.46	€0.28	€0.36	7
Feb ’24	€0.32	€0.37 +15.2%	15.7%	€0.46	€0.28	€0.34	7
Jan ’24	€0.31	€0.36 +18.1%	17.0%	€0.45	€0.28	€0.36	7
Dec ’23	€0.30	€0.36 +18.8%	17.0%	€0.45	€0.28	€0.33	7
Nov ’23	€0.29	€0.37 +24.6%	16.1%	€0.46	€0.28	€0.34	7
Oct ’23	€0.31	€0.41 +32.0%	17.0%	€0.51	€0.29	€0.33	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.