First Northwest Bancorp Valuation

Is 45I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 45I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 45I (€10.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 45I is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 45I?

Key metric: As 45I is an unprofitable bank we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 45I. This is calculated by dividing 45I's market cap by their current book value.
What is 45I's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.6x
BookUS$160.79m
Market CapUS$101.73m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 45I's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 45I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
0.4x8.6%€108.9m
UBK UmweltBank
0.9xn/a€225.7m
PCZ ProCredit Holding
0.4x10.7%€451.2m
FKYS First Keystone
0.9xn/aUS$97.9m
45I First Northwest Bancorp
0.6x114.8%€101.7m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 45I is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 45I's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
45I 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies35PB00.61.21.82.43+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 45I is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (0.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 45I's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

45I PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 45I's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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