First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

DB:1GJ Stock Report

Market Cap: €159.9m

First Guaranty Bancshares Valuation

Is 1GJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1GJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1GJ (€12.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1GJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1GJ?

Key metric: As 1GJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1GJ. This is calculated by dividing 1GJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1GJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
EarningsUS$10.41m
Market CapUS$167.56m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1GJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1GJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
MBK Merkur PrivatBank KgaA
10.2x8.6%€108.9m
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.3x10.7%€451.2m
8713 FIDEA Holdings
24.7xn/aJP¥25.3b
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp
11.1x-1.8%US$164.6m
1GJ First Guaranty Bancshares
16x1.2%€167.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1GJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1GJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1GJ 16.0xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies47PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1GJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1GJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1GJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1GJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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