Intesa Sanpaolo Valuation

Is IES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IES (€3.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IES?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

IES key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio-10.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IES vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
PCZ ProCredit Holding
4.9x10.0%€554.8m
UBK UmweltBank
11.7xn/a€228.2m
NAB National Australia Bank
13.9x0.9%AU$104.0b
IES Intesa Sanpaolo
8.4x-0.8%€64.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IES PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio7.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IES forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.54
€3.80
+7.1%
10.7%€4.42€3.00n/a21
Apr ’25€3.37
€3.72
+10.3%
9.6%€4.39€3.00n/a21
Mar ’25€3.00
€3.66
+22.1%
8.4%€4.05€3.00n/a22
Feb ’25€2.80
€3.56
+27.1%
7.9%€3.90€3.00n/a21
Jan ’25€2.65
€3.54
+33.8%
9.0%€4.00€3.00n/a21
Dec ’24€2.67
€3.54
+32.9%
9.0%€4.00€3.00n/a21
Nov ’24€2.49
€3.44
+38.2%
9.0%€4.00€2.80n/a21
Oct ’24€2.44
€3.44
+41.0%
9.3%€4.00€2.80n/a21
Sep ’24€2.46
€3.34
+35.9%
9.9%€4.00€2.70n/a23
Aug ’24€2.61
€3.29
+26.0%
9.7%€3.75€2.70n/a22
Jul ’24€2.39
€3.19
+33.9%
8.5%€3.70€2.70n/a22
Jun ’24€2.25
€3.16
+40.9%
9.6%€3.70€2.56n/a22
May ’24€2.39
€3.02
+26.3%
10.5%€3.55€2.40n/a22
Apr ’24€2.37
€2.99
+26.4%
10.2%€3.55€2.40€3.3722
Mar ’24€2.53
€3.00
+18.4%
10.3%€3.55€2.40€3.0023
Feb ’24€2.45
€2.79
+13.6%
8.7%€3.37€2.40€2.8023
Jan ’24€2.09
€2.73
+30.9%
10.4%€3.37€2.25€2.6522
Dec ’23€2.05
€2.72
+32.7%
11.1%€3.37€2.20€2.6722
Nov ’23€1.97
€2.49
+26.3%
17.0%€3.37€1.22€2.4923
Oct ’23€1.79
€2.50
+40.1%
16.5%€3.37€1.22€2.4423
Sep ’23€1.75
€2.52
+44.5%
17.1%€3.37€1.22€2.4623
Aug ’23€1.75
€2.54
+45.3%
16.9%€3.37€1.22€2.6123
Jul ’23€1.76
€2.69
+52.8%
15.3%€3.37€1.61€2.3923
Jun ’23€2.00
€2.65
+32.8%
16.2%€3.25€1.27€2.2523
May ’23€1.95
€2.74
+40.4%
11.6%€3.50€2.25€2.3923
Apr ’23€2.11
€2.88
+36.5%
13.5%€3.70€2.25€2.3723

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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