JPMorgan Chase Valuation

Is CMC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMC (€176.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€302)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CMC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio-8.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CMC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CMC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
CBK Commerzbank
8x7.6%€16.3b
BAC Bank of America
12.5x6.2%US$288.4b
1398 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
4.1x3.7%HK$2.0t
1288 Agricultural Bank of China
4.4x5.1%HK$1.6t
CMC JPMorgan Chase
11.3x-1.3%€550.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CMC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CMC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CMC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€176.74
€194.39
+10.0%
7.6%€209.51€157.13n/a23
Apr ’25€184.80
€186.06
+0.7%
9.2%€213.20€148.96n/a23
Mar ’25€171.30
€178.47
+4.2%
9.1%€220.86€142.91n/a24
Feb ’25€159.20
€176.61
+10.9%
9.9%€219.51€138.35n/a24
Jan ’25€154.10
€157.84
+2.4%
11.5%€211.42€126.49n/a24
Dec ’24€144.40
€156.00
+8.0%
11.1%€214.08€128.63n/a24
Nov ’24€132.10
€161.60
+22.3%
10.2%€220.51€132.50n/a24
Oct ’24€139.20
€159.55
+14.6%
8.6%€203.43€132.47n/a24
Sep ’24€136.70
€156.88
+14.8%
8.8%€203.30€129.96n/a24
Aug ’24€142.60
€153.79
+7.9%
9.5%€206.68€127.47n/a24
Jul ’24€132.90
€146.78
+10.4%
8.8%€194.28€128.30n/a23
Jun ’24€127.90
€149.26
+16.7%
7.5%€180.09€130.63n/a23
May ’24€125.00
€146.09
+16.9%
8.0%€178.65€127.61€181.1224
Apr ’24€119.40
€144.96
+21.4%
8.5%€175.11€122.30€184.8024
Mar ’24€133.88
€148.94
+11.3%
9.2%€179.15€123.23€171.3024
Feb ’24€128.32
€144.08
+12.3%
8.7%€173.86€119.59€159.2024
Jan ’24€124.16
€134.80
+8.6%
8.9%€159.30€111.23€154.1025
Dec ’23€129.98
€133.21
+2.5%
10.0%€165.30€112.10€144.4024
Nov ’23€129.04
€138.67
+7.5%
9.2%€164.01€119.46€132.1024
Oct ’23€109.20
€137.09
+25.5%
10.1%€165.46€117.33€139.2024
Sep ’23€114.14
€134.30
+17.7%
11.2%€169.49€113.97€136.7024
Aug ’23€111.62
€135.74
+21.6%
11.1%€170.35€114.54€142.6026
Jul ’23€108.08
€144.59
+33.8%
13.7%€191.82€115.09€132.9025
Jun ’23€122.32
€145.44
+18.9%
11.4%€186.34€111.80€127.9025
May ’23€116.42
€147.62
+26.8%
11.9%€187.98€112.79€125.0024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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