Stock Analysis

    Can You Imagine How Renk's (FRA:ZAR) Shareholders Feel About The 28% Share Price Increase?

    Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Renk share price has climbed 28% in five years, easily topping the market return of 9.9% (ignoring dividends).

    View our latest analysis for Renk

    In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

    During five years of share price growth, Renk actually saw its EPS drop 0.4% per year. By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

    We are not particularly impressed by the annual compound revenue growth of 0.04% over five years. So why is the share price up? It's not immediately obvious to us, but a closer look at the company's progress over time might yield answers.

    DB:ZAR Income Statement, August 14th 2019
    DB:ZAR Income Statement, August 14th 2019

    This free interactive report on Renk's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

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    What About Dividends?

    When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Renk the TSR over the last 5 years was 43%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

    A Different Perspective

    Although it hurts that Renk returned a loss of 3.1% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 7.5%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7.5%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. Is Renk cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

    Of course Renk may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

    Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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