Volkswagen Valuation

Is VOW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOW (€86.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€387.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOW?

Key metric: As VOW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOW. This is calculated by dividing VOW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.4x
Earnings€12.26b
Market Cap€42.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.2x5.6%€42.4b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x1.7%€50.6b
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
14.4x11.3%€57.5b
PAH3 Porsche Automobil Holding
2.9x20.6%€10.9b
VOW Volkswagen
3.4x9.4%€42.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VOW 3.4xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.4x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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