Porsche Automobil Holding SE

XTRA:PAH3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.1b

Porsche Automobil Holding Valuation

Is PAH3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PAH3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€62.80
Fair Value
42.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PAH3 (€36.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€62.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PAH3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PAH3?

Key metric: As PAH3 is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for PAH3. This is calculated by dividing PAH3's market cap by their current book value.
What is PAH3's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.3x
Book€35.11b
Market Cap€11.08b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does PAH3's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for PAH3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
P911 Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
1.7x11.4%€40.2b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
0.5x6.1%€46.0b
VOW3 Volkswagen
0.3x11.3%€48.6b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
0.5x-1.4%€50.5b
PAH3 Porsche Automobil Holding
0.3x75.8%€11.1b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: PAH3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does PAH3's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PAH3 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies5PB00.61.21.82.43+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: PAH3 is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Auto industry average (1.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PAH3's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PAH3 PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.3x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PAH3's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PAH3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.17
€38.90
+7.5%
17.1%€55.00€31.00n/a10
Apr ’26€34.44
€38.90
+13.0%
17.1%€55.00€31.00n/a10
Mar ’26€37.57
€38.36
+2.1%
17.9%€55.00€30.00n/a11
Feb ’26€38.20
€37.27
-2.4%
21.0%€55.00€25.00n/a11
Jan ’26€36.35
€43.09
+18.5%
27.6%€67.00€25.00n/a11
Dec ’25€34.62
€47.09
+36.0%
26.7%€70.00€26.00n/a11
Nov ’25€38.23
€49.20
+28.7%
22.7%€70.00€35.00n/a10
Oct ’25€40.74
€51.77
+27.1%
19.2%€70.00€36.00n/a11
Sep ’25€40.67
€56.50
+38.9%
28.2%€97.00€36.00n/a11
Aug ’25€40.44
€58.70
+45.2%
27.1%€97.00€35.00n/a10
Jul ’25€42.33
€60.40
+42.7%
23.5%€97.00€45.00n/a10
Jun ’25€50.52
€60.40
+19.6%
23.5%€97.00€45.00n/a10
May ’25€47.93
€60.40
+26.0%
23.5%€97.00€45.00€36.1710
Apr ’25€49.12
€62.64
+27.5%
25.2%€97.00€45.00€34.4411
Mar ’25€49.09
€63.55
+29.4%
29.6%€104.00€47.00€37.5711
Feb ’25€46.09
€65.25
+41.6%
26.8%€104.00€47.00€38.2012
Jan ’25€46.32
€66.00
+42.5%
26.4%€104.00€47.00€36.3512
Dec ’24€45.16
€64.75
+43.4%
22.6%€97.00€47.00€34.6212
Nov ’24€42.54
€68.17
+60.2%
22.8%€102.00€47.00€38.2312
Oct ’24€46.65
€68.17
+46.1%
22.8%€102.00€47.00€40.7412
Sep ’24€48.50
€68.90
+42.1%
22.8%€102.00€47.00€40.6712
Aug ’24€53.38
€71.90
+34.7%
30.7%€134.00€51.00€40.4412
Jul ’24€55.16
€73.27
+32.8%
31.1%€134.00€51.00€42.3311
Jun ’24€52.22
€73.50
+40.8%
32.2%€134.00€51.00€50.5210
May ’24€50.48
€74.09
+46.8%
30.5%€134.00€51.00€47.9311
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
€38.90
Fair Value
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/30 18:19
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/30 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Porsche Automobil Holding SE is covered by 37 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Klaus BreitenbachBanco Santander
Henning CosmanBarclays