Such Is Life: How Progress Werk Oberkirch (FRA:PWO) Shareholders Saw Their Shares Drop 56%

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Progress Werk Oberkirch AG (FRA:PWO), since the last five years saw the share price fall 56%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 43%. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 8.7% in thirty days. This could be related to the recent financial results – you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

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See our latest analysis for Progress Werk Oberkirch

To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Looking back five years, both Progress Werk Oberkirch’s share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 15% per year. This change in EPS is remarkably close to the 15% average annual decrease in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn’t changed much over that time. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

DB:PWO Past and Future Earnings, May 17th 2019
DB:PWO Past and Future Earnings, May 17th 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Progress Werk Oberkirch’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Progress Werk Oberkirch, it has a TSR of -49% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 7.3% in the twelve months, Progress Werk Oberkirch shareholders did even worse, losing 41% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there’s a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Progress Werk Oberkirch’s dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.