HELLA GmbH KGaA Valuation

Is HLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLE (€84.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€35.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLE?

Key metric: As HLE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLE. This is calculated by dividing HLE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29x
Earnings€329.33m
Market Cap€9.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
CON Continental
12.3x23.4%€12.3b
SHA0 Schaeffler
29.2x73.1%€4.2b
SFQ SAF-Holland
7.7x14.3%€597.4m
NVM Novem Group
8.8x17.2%€247.0m
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
29x17.1%€9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the peer average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLE 29.0xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29x
Fair PE Ratio8.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€84.30
€71.00
-15.8%
1.2%€72.00€70.00n/a3
Nov ’25€86.30
€71.00
-17.7%
1.2%€72.00€70.00n/a3
Oct ’25€85.50
€71.00
-17.0%
1.2%€72.00€70.00n/a3
Sep ’25€87.60
€73.00
-16.7%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Aug ’25€86.80
€73.00
-15.9%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Jul ’25€85.60
€73.00
-14.7%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Jun ’25€83.90
€73.00
-13.0%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
May ’25€82.50
€73.00
-11.5%
4.9%€78.00€70.00n/a3
Apr ’25€85.20
€75.50
-11.4%
6.0%€80.00€71.00n/a2
Mar ’25€81.50
€69.75
-14.4%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Feb ’25€82.00
€69.75
-14.9%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Jan ’25€82.30
€69.75
-15.2%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Dec ’24€79.50
€69.75
-12.3%
1.8%€71.00€68.50n/a2
Nov ’24€72.00
€74.50
+3.5%
4.7%€78.00€71.00€86.302
Oct ’24€67.50
€73.00
+8.1%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€85.503
Sep ’24€65.30
€73.00
+11.8%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€87.603
Aug ’24€71.90
€73.00
+1.5%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€86.803
Jul ’24€71.10
€73.00
+2.7%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€85.603
Jun ’24€70.60
€73.00
+3.4%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€83.903
May ’24€75.70
€73.00
-3.6%
4.9%€78.00€70.00€82.503
Apr ’24€80.50
€71.50
-11.2%
5.6%€78.00€67.00€85.204
Mar ’24€80.90
€68.75
-15.0%
9.4%€78.00€60.00€81.504
Feb ’24€77.25
€64.25
-16.8%
6.8%€70.00€60.00€82.004
Jan ’24€75.30
€64.25
-14.7%
6.8%€70.00€60.00€82.304
Dec ’23€80.75
€65.40
-19.0%
6.9%€70.00€60.00€79.505
Nov ’23€79.20
€65.40
-17.4%
6.9%€70.00€60.00€72.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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