Bridgestone Valuation

Is BGT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BGT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BGT (€40.13) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€39.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BGT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BGT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BGT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BGT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BGT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
CON Continental
10.8x18.8%€12.5b
HLE HELLA GmbH KGaA
35.8x24.6%€9.2b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6x-0.7%€67.0b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.8x3.3%€65.9b
BGT Bridgestone
14.1x8.4%€4.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BGT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BGT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a27.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BGT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BGT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BGT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio8.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BGT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BGT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€40.13
€40.87
+1.8%
6.6%€46.46€35.60n/a11
Apr ’25€40.79
€40.19
-1.5%
8.5%€46.76€35.83n/a11
Mar ’25€39.28
€39.78
+1.3%
9.0%€44.86€33.19n/a11
Feb ’25€39.69
€39.61
-0.2%
7.5%€44.12€33.56n/a12
Jan ’25€36.98
€40.68
+10.0%
8.7%€45.79€34.82n/a12
Dec ’24€37.48
€38.46
+2.6%
8.3%€43.31€33.41n/a13
Nov ’24€36.46
€39.24
+7.6%
8.2%€44.53€34.35n/a13
Oct ’24€36.53
€38.43
+5.2%
7.2%€42.50€34.26n/a12
Sep ’24€35.62
€37.79
+6.1%
7.2%€42.20€32.12n/a12
Aug ’24€37.17
€39.34
+5.8%
7.6%€43.93€33.44n/a12
Jul ’24€37.33
€38.16
+2.2%
6.1%€41.68€33.21n/a11
Jun ’24€36.90
€37.59
+1.9%
5.8%€41.12€33.82n/a11
May ’24€35.85
€38.10
+6.3%
5.6%€41.81€34.67n/a11
Apr ’24€36.81
€38.38
+4.3%
7.0%€42.99€34.25€40.7911
Mar ’24€35.68
€36.91
+3.5%
6.9%€41.32€33.40€39.2810
Feb ’24€33.75
€38.22
+13.2%
6.1%€43.15€35.24€39.6910
Jan ’24€33.08
€38.16
+15.4%
7.5%€44.93€34.40€36.9810
Dec ’23€35.94
€38.16
+6.2%
7.5%€44.93€34.40€37.4810
Nov ’23€36.27
€37.71
+4.0%
8.2%€43.26€33.65€36.4611
Oct ’23€32.56
€38.26
+17.5%
7.3%€43.80€34.61€36.5312
Sep ’23€37.24
€38.69
+3.9%
8.2%€44.46€34.42€35.6212
Aug ’23€39.72
€37.57
-5.4%
8.2%€44.40€34.38€37.1712
Jul ’23€33.42
€37.07
+10.9%
7.5%€42.53€34.03€37.3312
Jun ’23€36.97
€37.72
+2.0%
8.1%€44.30€34.70€36.9012
May ’23€35.08
€37.72
+7.5%
8.1%€44.30€34.70€35.8512
Apr ’23€34.68
€38.34
+10.5%
8.7%€45.30€34.90€36.8112

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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