Stock Analysis

3 German Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 45.2% Below Intrinsic Value

XTRA:GXI
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As the European Central Bank's recent interest rate cuts have buoyed major stock indexes, Germany's DAX has seen a notable increase of 1.46%, reflecting optimism in the region's economic outlook. In this environment, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for investors seeking opportunities, and this article explores three German stocks currently estimated to be up to 45.2% below their intrinsic value.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Germany

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
technotrans (XTRA:TTR1)€16.05€30.7047.7%
init innovation in traffic systems (XTRA:IXX)€36.50€52.1330%
2G Energy (XTRA:2GB)€22.75€41.1944.8%
Formycon (XTRA:FYB)€51.00€81.6537.5%
CeoTronics (DB:CEK)€5.45€10.0645.8%
Schweizer Electronic (XTRA:SCE)€3.68€7.1948.8%
Your Family Entertainment (DB:RTV)€2.50€4.3242.1%
LPKF Laser & Electronics (XTRA:LPK)€9.03€12.4127.2%
Basler (XTRA:BSL)€6.61€12.1245.5%
MTU Aero Engines (XTRA:MTX)€309.50€564.4445.2%

Click here to see the full list of 20 stocks from our Undervalued German Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We'll examine a selection from our screener results.

Gerresheimer (XTRA:GXI)

Overview: Gerresheimer AG, with a market cap of €2.93 billion, manufactures and sells medicine packaging, drug delivery devices, and solutions both in Germany and internationally.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from three main segments: Plastics & Devices (€1.13 billion), Advanced Technologies (€5.83 million), and Primary Packaging Glass (€885.56 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 24.3%

Gerresheimer AG is trading at approximately €84.8, below its estimated fair value of €112.07, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite lowering its earnings guidance for 2024 and 2025, the company reported steady revenue growth with Q3 sales reaching €498.5 million. Forecasts suggest significant annual earnings growth of over 20%, although return on equity remains modest at an expected 13.4%. The stock is considered to be in a good financial position despite high debt levels.

XTRA:GXI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
XTRA:GXI Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

MTU Aero Engines (XTRA:MTX)

Overview: MTU Aero Engines AG develops, manufactures, markets, and maintains commercial and military aircraft engines as well as aero-derivative industrial gas turbines globally, with a market cap of €16.66 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from the Commercial Maintenance Business (MRO) segment, which accounts for €4.45 billion, and the Commercial and Military Engine Business (OEM) segment, contributing €1.32 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45.2%

MTU Aero Engines, trading at €309.5, is significantly below its estimated fair value of €564.44, reflecting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company forecasts robust earnings growth of 34.31% annually and expects to become profitable within three years, outpacing the German market's revenue growth rate at 11.9% per year. Recent financial results show increased sales and net income for the first half of 2024, supported by a successful €745.88 million fixed-income offering in September 2024.

XTRA:MTX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
XTRA:MTX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Schaeffler (XTRA:SHA0)

Overview: Schaeffler AG, along with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells components and systems for industrial applications across Europe, the Americas, China, and the Asia Pacific; it has a market cap of approximately €4.77 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is segmented into Automotive Technologies at €9.80 billion, Vehicle Lifetime Solutions at €2.43 billion, and Bearings & Industrial Solutions at €4.10 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 15.9%

Schaeffler, trading at €5.05, is slightly undervalued with a fair value estimate of €6. The company anticipates substantial earnings growth of nearly 38% annually over the next three years, surpassing the German market's average. Despite this potential, recent financials reveal declining net income and lower profit margins compared to last year. Additionally, shares are highly illiquid and interest payments remain inadequately covered by earnings, posing risks to investors focused on cash flow valuation.

XTRA:SHA0 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
XTRA:SHA0 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Summing It All Up

  • Click this link to deep-dive into the 20 companies within our Undervalued German Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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