- Germany
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- Auto Components
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- XTRA:ED4
These Metrics Don't Make EDAG Engineering Group (ETR:ED4) Look Too Strong
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. In light of that, from a first glance at EDAG Engineering Group (ETR:ED4), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for EDAG Engineering Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.019 = €7.6m ÷ (€633m - €242m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, EDAG Engineering Group has an ROCE of 2.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Auto Components industry average of 6.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for EDAG Engineering Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for EDAG Engineering Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of EDAG Engineering Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 19%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect EDAG Engineering Group to turn into a multi-bagger.
In Conclusion...
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 45% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
Like most companies, EDAG Engineering Group does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While EDAG Engineering Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About XTRA:ED4
EDAG Engineering Group
Engages in the development of vehicles, derivatives, modules, and production facilities for the automotive and commercial vehicle industries worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.