Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that CEZ, a. s. (SEP:CEZ) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for CEZ a. s
How Much Debt Does CEZ a. s Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CEZ a. s had debt of Kč159.3b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from Kč175.4b over a year. On the flip side, it has Kč48.1b in cash leading to net debt of about Kč111.2b.
A Look At CEZ a. s' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CEZ a. s had liabilities of Kč206.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of Kč325.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of Kč48.1b as well as receivables valued at Kč62.4b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling Kč421.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of Kč461.9b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
CEZ a. s has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.84. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, CEZ a. s saw its EBIT drop by 5.1% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CEZ a. s's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, CEZ a. s produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
While CEZ a. s's level of total liabilities does give us pause, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA suggest it can stay on top of its debt load. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like CEZ a. s commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that CEZ a. s is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example CEZ a. s has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEP:CEZ
CEZ a. s
Engages in the generation, distribution, trade, and sale of electricity and heat in Western, Central, and Southeastern Europe.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.