Falabella Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of FALABELLCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

FALABELLCO (COP15280) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (COP634.68)

Is FALABELLCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FALABELLCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FALABELLCO (COP15280) is trading above our estimate of fair value (COP634.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FALABELLCO is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FALABELLCO?

Key metric: As FALABELLCO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FALABELLCO. This is calculated by dividing FALABELLCO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FALABELLCO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	25.6x
Earnings	CL$331.32b
Market Cap	CL$8.47t

FALABELLCO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16.3x
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FALABELLCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FALABELLCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.1x
VIPS Vipshop Holdings	6x	-4.2%	US$6.8b
DDS Dillard's	11.3x	-31.4%	US$7.1b
CTC.A Canadian Tire Corporation	12.9x	3.8%	CA$8.6b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de	6.2x	5.1%	Mex$141.6b
FALABELLCO Falabella	25.6x	22.2%	Col$8.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FALABELLCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the peer average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FALABELLCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FALABELLCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FALABELLCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FALABELLCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	25.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FALABELLCO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FALABELLCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	Col$15,280.00	Col$14,260.45 -6.7%	20.5%	Col$18,826.85	Col$10,148.13	n/a	9
Nov ’25	Col$16,160.00	Col$14,260.45 -11.8%	20.5%	Col$18,826.85	Col$10,148.13	n/a	9
Oct ’25	Col$14,980.00	Col$13,660.31 -8.8%	25.7%	Col$19,042.90	Col$9,149.88	n/a	9
Sep ’25	Col$14,220.00	Col$12,079.80 -15.1%	22.2%	Col$15,695.33	Col$8,296.10	n/a	8
Aug ’25	Col$13,000.00	Col$10,890.57 -16.2%	21.9%	Col$14,809.90	Col$7,362.64	n/a	8
Jul ’25	Col$13,120.00	Col$11,025.91 -16.0%	19.1%	Col$13,852.21	Col$7,775.11	n/a	8
Jun ’25	Col$11,760.00	Col$10,539.65 -10.4%	20.0%	Col$13,308.72	Col$7,083.67	n/a	8
May ’25	Col$10,320.00	Col$9,544.65 -7.5%	21.1%	Col$11,715.08	Col$6,526.97	n/a	8
Apr ’25	Col$10,060.00	Col$9,049.29 -10.0%	19.2%	Col$11,546.26	Col$6,432.92	n/a	9
Mar ’25	Col$9,690.00	Col$8,628.00 -11.0%	18.6%	Col$11,041.34	Col$5,861.95	n/a	9
Feb ’25	Col$9,430.00	Col$9,005.65 -4.5%	18.7%	Col$11,501.03	Col$6,106.00	n/a	9
Jan ’25	Col$9,740.00	Col$9,282.60 -4.7%	16.9%	Col$12,104.55	Col$7,306.75	n/a	9
Dec ’24	Col$9,130.00	Col$9,716.05 +6.4%	16.3%	Col$12,526.55	Col$7,561.48	n/a	10
Nov ’24	Col$8,210.00	Col$9,573.75 +16.6%	16.1%	Col$12,331.53	Col$7,533.44	Col$16,160.00	10
Oct ’24	Col$9,055.00	Col$9,560.62 +5.6%	16.7%	Col$12,372.57	Col$7,558.52	Col$14,980.00	10
Sep ’24	Col$10,330.00	Col$9,631.54 -6.8%	11.6%	Col$11,517.53	Col$8,158.25	Col$14,220.00	10
Aug ’24	Col$11,140.00	Col$9,555.37 -14.2%	11.6%	Col$11,426.45	Col$8,093.74	Col$13,000.00	10
Jul ’24	Col$9,980.00	Col$9,976.86 -0.03%	7.3%	Col$11,406.55	Col$8,774.27	Col$13,120.00	10
Jun ’24	Col$10,240.00	Col$10,772.82 +5.2%	6.9%	Col$12,140.71	Col$9,339.01	Col$11,760.00	10
May ’24	Col$9,860.00	Col$11,928.26 +21.0%	12.1%	Col$15,004.10	Col$9,810.37	Col$10,320.00	10
Apr ’24	Col$10,660.00	Col$12,862.98 +20.7%	16.9%	Col$17,966.40	Col$10,014.06	Col$10,060.00	11
Mar ’24	Col$10,540.00	Col$13,200.08 +25.2%	17.0%	Col$18,217.30	Col$10,153.90	Col$9,690.00	10
Feb ’24	Col$10,510.00	Col$12,665.55 +20.5%	17.9%	Col$17,207.10	Col$9,590.84	Col$9,430.00	10
Jan ’24	Col$9,600.00	Col$12,646.58 +31.7%	19.3%	Col$16,640.24	Col$9,274.89	Col$9,740.00	10
Dec ’23	Col$8,415.00	Col$12,534.63 +49.0%	16.4%	Col$16,230.67	Col$9,046.61	Col$9,130.00	11
Nov ’23	Col$9,490.00	Col$13,805.02 +45.5%	23.7%	Col$22,576.36	Col$10,786.48	Col$8,210.00	12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.