Stock Analysis

Foran Energy Group's (SZSE:002911) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

SZSE:002911
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Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002911) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of April to CN¥0.5998. This makes the dividend yield 4.1%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Foran Energy Group

Foran Energy Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Foran Energy Group was paying out 72% of earnings and more than 75% of free cash flows. This is usually an indication that the focus of the company is returning cash to shareholders rather than reinvesting it for growth.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 49.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 55%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SZSE:002911 Historic Dividend April 22nd 2024

Foran Energy Group Is Still Building Its Track Record

Foran Energy Group's dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. Since 2018, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.177, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.60. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% a year over that time. Foran Energy Group has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. We are encouraged to see that Foran Energy Group has grown earnings per share at 17% per year over the past five years. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Foran Energy Group will make a great income stock. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We don't think Foran Energy Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Foran Energy Group that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.